Weather decisions for outdoor work

Know before you dispatch.

Prelay watches the conditions that decide whether a job can happen — rain, wind, heat, cold, ice, and how wet the ground is — at every site you work. It grades each coming day for the work you do there and puts the grade, the reasons, and every change in front of your people and your systems — so the call is yours, made with the facts, before the trucks roll.

  • Observations recorded at every site, around the clock
  • 62 work activities graded across 12 trades
  • Email, signed webhooks, and a portal your whole team can read
Roof installation Ridgeway CommonsThu
  • Rain chance70%
  • Gust ≥ 30 mph odds38%
  • GroundSaturated
  • Overnight low38°F
Thu gradesPoorFri grades Good. Your call — made a day early, with the reasons.

Rain, wind, and a wet site at once

The problem

Weather mistakes are expensive.

Nobody budgets for a rainout. It still gets paid for — in payroll, fuel, idle iron, wasted material, and the job that now starts a day late. A forecast is information. The dispatch decision is where the money moves.

You already know your number. Prelay exists so you can see, the night before, whether the day is likely to hold — and decide accordingly.

Line itemAt your rates
6-person crew8 hours each, paid whether or not the work happens$ ——
2 trucks and a trailer90 minutes each way — fuel, tolls, and wear$ ——
EquipmentLoaded, unloaded, and idle$ ——
MaterialsStaged, exposed, sometimes ruined$ ——
Setup and teardownTwice, for zero installed work$ ——
The scheduleTomorrow’s job just moved, and the customer knows it$ ——
One rainout.One very expensive decision.

What changes

Know when to work. Know when not to. Know when to act.

01

Avoid wasted mobilization

See whether the window is actually there before the trucks roll. Every site’s coming days are graded for the work scheduled there, so the go/no-go call can be made the night before, with the reasons in front of you — not in the parking lot.

Per-activity, per-day grades with reasons · optional notice before a Poor or Unsafe day

02

Protect materials and finished work

Concrete, asphalt, coatings, sealants, and roofing systems each have conditions they will not forgive. See, for each coming day, whether the temperature floor, rain chance, ice, and ground wetness are on your side before material is committed.

Temperature floors and ceilings · frozen precipitation · estimated ground wetness

03

Keep crews safer

Set the gust, wind, ice, and temperature limits your team already works to. Supervisors see the days that cross them ahead of time — information for the people who make the safety call, alongside your safety program and never a substitute for it.

Ensemble gust probabilities · your thresholds, within guardrails

04

Capture the windows that make money

Rain ends and the car wash fills. A heat streak forms and the tune-up calls start. Get the signal the moment the pattern your business waits for shows up, and let it start the promotion, staffing call, or outreach you planned in advance.

Prelays fire once, on the rising edge · email + signed webhook

Work suitability

Every site, every activity, every coming day — graded, with reasons.

Tell Prelay which trades you work in. For each site it grades the days ahead per activity — a shingle install, a concrete pour, a mowing route, pole work — morning and afternoon, and says exactly which limit was reached. When a data source is missing it says Limited data, never “fine.”

Ridgeway Commonsillustrative
ActivityThuFriSatMonTue
Roof installationPoorGoodGoodMarg.Unsafe
Concrete placementPoorMarg.GoodGoodPoor
Mowing and trimmingPoorPoorMarg.GoodLimited
  • Good
  • Marginal
  • Poor
  • Unsafe
  • Limited data

Thu · Roof installationPoor

  • Afternoon: 65% chance of measurable rain during 12 PM–5 PM (31 members) — Poor at 50%
  • Morning: gusts ≥ 30 mph during 7 AM–12 PM: 38% of ensemble members — Poor at 30%
  • Overnight low 38°F — Marginal below 40°F

Baseline tolerances · catalog v0.5 · every grade carries its provenance

What a grade weighs

  • Rain probabilitythe chance of measurable rain in your work window, from the same 31-member ensemble as the wind
  • Mornings and afternoonsevery activity graded for each half of the work window, so a clear morning is still a work window
  • Daily high and lowfloors for curing and coatings, ceilings for heat
  • Frozen precipitationsnow, sleet, or ice on the day
  • Ground wetnessan estimate fed by observed radar-gauge rainfall at the site
  • Sustained windfor spraying, applications, and striping
  • Gust probabilitythe chance peak gusts in your work window exceed the activity’s limit, from a 31-member model ensemble

Your limits, within guardrails

LWNN sets the baseline for each activity. You tune the gust threshold for your equipment, how much risk you accept before a day reads Marginal, Poor, or Unsafe, and your working hours. The Unsafe band can be moved, never switched off, and every change is audited.

Grades are estimates calculated by LWNN from forecast and modeled or observed weather data. They are decision support, not a safety determination, and are not on-site measurements. Wind and rain grades are probabilities derived from a weather-model ensemble.

Who makes these calls

If weather decides whether your crew makes money today, this is for you.

Contractors carry the sharpest version of the problem — a wrong call costs a crew day. But the same engine serves any business whose revenue moves with the sky.

Avoid wasted mobilization

The crew, the trucks, and the drive are paid for whether or not the work happens. See the go/no-go picture the night before, not in the parking lot.

Roofing contractors

runs today

Commit the crew to a window that will hold.

Tear off Thursday, or wait for Friday?

Grades each coming day for tear-offs, installs, repairs, and gutter work on rain chance, gust probability, ice, and heat — and can notify you the evening before a day grades Poor or Unsafe.

Landscaping contractors

runs today

Stop paying crews to discover mud.

Send the mowing crew to the saturated property, or re-route to the dry one?

Estimates ground wetness at every property and grades mowing, planting, irrigation, and applications per day. A wet-ground prelay can flag a site as too wet for equipment before dispatch.

Site prep & excavation

runs today

Know whether the ground will carry an excavator before it is on the trailer.

Start grading Monday, or give the site two more days to drain?

Tracks observed rainfall and estimated soil wetness per site, and fires the moment the ground has dried enough to work.

Protect weather-sensitive work

Concrete, asphalt, coatings, and roofing systems all have conditions they will not forgive. Commit material when the window holds.

Concrete & masonry

runs today

Order the trucks for a pour that can cure.

Place Wednesday’s slab, or push the ready-mix order?

Checks the temperature floor, rain chance, frozen precipitation, and ground wetness for placement, flatwork, brick and block, and mortar work across the coming days.

Paving & asphalt

runs today

Lay asphalt when the mat can hold temperature.

Pave and sealcoat this week, or hold the crew?

Grades paving, sealcoating, crack filling, striping, and repairs on daily highs, rain chance, and frozen precipitation.

Painting & exterior finishing

runs today

Coatings do not forgive a cold night or a wet afternoon.

Spray today, or lose the finish to tonight’s low?

Grades exterior painting, staining, caulking, and pressure washing on daily lows, rain chance, and wind, so application days are scheduled where they will hold.

Keep crews safer

Set the gust, wind, ice, and temperature limits your team already works to. See the days that cross them before the crew is scheduled.

Tree care & arborists

runs today

See the gust risk before anyone is aloft.

Put the climber up today, or reschedule the removal?

Grades trimming, removal, and cabling on the probability that gusts exceed your limit during the work window — from every member of an ensemble forecast, not one number.

Utility contractors

runs today

Pole work and trenching answer to different weather.

Is tomorrow a bucket-truck day or a trench day?

Grades pole and aerial work on gust probability and ice, and trenching on ground wetness and rain — so dispatch can swap crews between them.

Solar & electrical contractors

runs today

Rooftop racking and a 35-mph gust do not mix.

Rooftop install tomorrow, or move the crew to the ground-mount?

Grades rooftop, racking, and ground-mount solar plus crane-assisted generator lifts and service work on gusts, rain, ice, and heat — and puts the grade and its reasons in front of supervisors before the day is scheduled.

Act when demand changes

Some businesses fill up when the weather turns. Get the signal the moment the pattern shows up, and let it start the campaign, staffing call, or outreach you planned.

Car washes

runs today

Fill the bays the day the roads dry.

When does the win-back promo go out?

After a rainy stretch, when the forecast clears to several straight dry days, Prelay fires — once, at the right moment — and your campaign goes out.

Golf courses

runs today

Tee sheets fill when the fairways dry.

Staff up and push the weekend, or not?

Fires when a wet stretch ends and dry, warm days are ahead, so the pro shop, the grounds crew, and the marketing land together.

HVAC & mechanical

runs today

Be first in the inbox when the heat wave forms.

Launch the tune-up push now, or wait and see?

Fires when a streak of days above your heat threshold shows up in the forecast — and grades rooftop and crane-assisted installs for your own crews.

Tire retail

runs today

Book winter installs before the first flake.

When does the winter-tire campaign ship?

Fires a set number of days before the first forecast snowfall, tolerant of forecast jitter so it does not fire twice.

Event venues

runs today

Stage the rain plan before ticket-holders ask.

Do we cover the lawn seating this weekend?

Fires when rain chance crosses your threshold on any day inside your booking window.

Orchards & growers

runs today

Protect the trees before the first frost.

Run frost protection tonight?

Fires days ahead of the season’s first forecast night below your frost line.

Decisions we are building the weather data for next — tell us if one is yours:

Snow removal

in the works

Mobilize before the first plow-truck competitor wakes up.

Stage salt and crews tonight?

Forecast snowfall amounts are not in the engine yet. If this is your business, tell us and we will prioritise it.

The economics

One avoided dispatch can pay for a long time.

Prelay is a flat monthly subscription, priced by how many sites you monitor. Put a month of it next to any one of these. If the information helps you avoid a single one in a season, the math is done — and most crews see more than one a season.

Talk to us about your sites
  • One wasted crew daythe crew, the trucks, the drive — and nothing installed
  • One material lossa pour that did not cure, a coat that did not bond
  • One rework eventthe callback, the second mobilization, the warranty exposure
  • One missed windowthe profitable weekend you were staffed wrong for

How it connects

The decision reaches the people and systems that act on it.

01

Add your sites

Search an address. Prelay starts recording observations there around the clock and building the site’s history from day one.

02

Set the decisions

Pick the trades you work in for day-by-day grades. Arm prelays — rules that fire once, the moment a condition flips true — for the calls you make on repeat.

03

Get the picture

Grades, reasons, and changes reach your people by email, your dispatch, scheduling, or CRM systems by signed webhook, and your whole team in the portal. Every delivery is logged.

A prelay fires once, at the right moment.

Conditions are false, false, false — then true. That edge is when a prelay fires: no repeat alerts while the condition stays true, no double-fire when a forecast wobbles, and a re-fire only when a Poor day escalates to Unsafe. Start from a template, set the knobs to your operation, and decide what your side does with the signal.

  • Work suitability alert
  • Ground dry enough to work
  • Ground too wet for equipment
  • Rain-then-shine
  • First-snow lead time
  • First-frost lead time
  • Heat-streak alert
  • Rain risk in the window

Where it lands

  • Email
  • Signed webhook
  • Portal dashboard
  • Scheduled site reports

For your developers

Built for your systems, not just your inbox.

Every fire is an HTTPS POST to your endpoint, signed with a per-rule secret — HMAC-SHA256 over the exact body in the X-LWNN-Signature header — so your side can verify it came from us and nothing in between touched it.

  • Delivery is at-least-once: dedupe on idempotency_key.
  • Failed deliveries retry on a 1m / 5m / 30m / 2h / 6h ladder, then park in a dead-letter log you can see.
  • Endpoints are HTTPS-only. Rotate your signing secret any time.
  • Prefer email? Every rule can also notify a recipient list — webhook, email, or both.
  • Work-suitability alerts add a suitability block: each breached activity/day with its grade, reasons, wind probabilities, morning/afternoon segment grades, and provenance.
POST https://your-endpoint.example/hooks/weather
X-LWNN-Event: weather.trigger.fired
X-LWNN-Signature: sha256=7f3a91c4…
{
  "event": "weather.trigger.fired",
  "trigger": { "id": 42, "name": "Rain-then-shine win-back" },
  "location": { "id": 118, "label": "Sudsy's #12 — Dublin OH" },
  "condition_summary": "rained 3 of last 3 days AND 3 straight dry days ahead",
  "matched": [
    { "check": "Rained 3 of the last 3 days", "observed": "3/3 days with measurable rain" },
    { "check": "3 straight dry days ahead", "observed": "Thu–Sat clear, precip < 25%" }
  ],
  "fired_at": "2026-08-27T12:15:04Z",
  "idempotency_key": "a3f18c2e90b44d5f"
}

Make the call with the facts in hand.

Prelay is onboarding early customers now — roofers, landscapers, concrete and paving crews, tree services, car washes, golf courses. If weather decides whether your crews make money on a given day, tell us about the call you make.